Time Series Analysis of Road Traffic Accidents in Ghana, A Case Study of Accra – Tema Motorway, Greater Accra Region

dc.contributor.authorOkutu, John Kwadey
dc.date.accessioned2012-06-13T16:53:22Z
dc.date.accessioned2023-04-20T10:18:31Z
dc.date.available2012-06-13T16:53:22Z
dc.date.available2023-04-20T10:18:31Z
dc.date.issued2011
dc.descriptionThesis submitted to the Institute of Distance Learning, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology in Partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Industrial Mathematicsen_US
dc.description.abstractRoad traffic accident in Ghana is increasing at an alarming rate and has raised major concerns. In this thesis, time series with Box – Jenkins method was applied to 31 years of annual road accident data from 1980 – 2010 to determine patterns of road traffic accident cases, injuries and deaths along the Accra – Tema motorway. Models were subsequently developed for accident cases, injuries and deaths. ARIMA (1,1,1) was tentatively used to model the injury and death data whilst ARIMA(0,1,2) was used to model the accident cases data. 10 years forecasts were made using the models developed and it showed that, road traffic accident cases, injuries and death would continue to increase.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipKNUSTen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://ir.knust.edu.gh/handle/123456789/3911
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.titleTime Series Analysis of Road Traffic Accidents in Ghana, A Case Study of Accra – Tema Motorway, Greater Accra Regionen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
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